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Ufc fight night 38 betting predictions racing betting explained

Ufc fight night 38 betting predictions

Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. Those selections are only available at SportsLine. The MMA handicapper knows the May 30 main event will likely be a major turning point in the careers of both fighters. Woodley has seen one of the most successful runs in UFC welterweight history marred by inactivity due to various injuries and criticism from what some observers view as a conservative fighting style.

Woodley memorably knocked out Robbie Lawler in the first round of their July bout to win the title and made four successful title defenses. But he was listless in his lopsided decision loss to Usman, who used his wrestling and cage control to dominate their fight. The former champion turned 38 in April and a loss to Burns could mean a long road back to title contention.

Burns heads to the Apex facility as one of the promotion's hottest fighters. The year-old Brazilian has flirted on the outskirts of the rankings since making his UFC debut in But he has been on a roll since a July loss to Dan Hooker, with a series of impressive outings among his five consecutive victories. Burns knocked out revered submission specialist Demian Maia in March and immediately asked for a bout with a top contender.

He called for a fight with Woodley on social media and the former champion obliged. You can see Marley's full Woodley vs. Burns predictions and picks here. Quarantillo is coming down from pounds, while Carlyle is moving up from pounds.

The added weight could be an edge for Carlyle , whose heavy hands have led to three straight knockout victories. Quarantillo has shown power of his own, with four knockouts included among his current six-fight win streak. But the Florida native also has shown versatility and used a triangle choke for a submission win against Jacob Kilburn in December in his UFC debut.

What a debut. Still, I prefer the Under 1. Since their first encounter in , Dariush has made twice as many trips to the octagon 14 as his opponent, who tends to be a slow starter. If Dariush can land takedowns 1. Askar is a wild swinger who comes after his opponents, and while Stamann is typically a decision machine 11 of 18 wins via decision, eight of nine UFC bouts have gone the distance , this spot sets up for a potential finish. But I will pass on both the decision and distance props in a smaller octagon against a late-notice debutant.

Pair Stamann with the other juicy value play on the card, Timur Valiev, and risk one unit on a parlay to return at least a half unit , at or better. Kape, the Rizin bantamweight champ, is immediately thrust into the fire at flyweight against a ranked contender in Pantoja, who is trying to bounce back from a loss to Askar Askarov in July not to be confused with debutant Askar Askar, listed above.

Pantoja was the backup for the main event — Figuerido vs. Benavidez 2 — that evening but lost his bout as a favorite and slid down the flyweight rankings to No. Kape is an explosive athlete and a talented prospect. There are questions regarding his grappling, which a high-level blackbelt like Pantoja figures to test. It seems far more likely that Pantoja outperforms his price than the other way around.

Perhaps the year-old former world champion is getting some veteran deference in close fights, and the opportunity to go back to a three-round battle against Sandhagen should improve his output 3. However, Edgar still has five-round cardio.

Edgar should look to secure a couple of takedowns 2. The lengthy bantamweight five inches taller, two inches of reach on Edgar is an unorthodox striker. Still, Edgar has run the gamut of opponents at this point in his career and mentioned that the Sandhagen matchup reminds him of the Yair Rodriguez fight. Running with Elevation Fight Team, Sandhagen will certainly improve his wrestling base over time, and stamina is rarely an issue for the kickboxer, though starting slow can be.

Even if Sandhagen dropped the first round in a five-round fight, I would expect him to win at least three, if not all four of the remaining rounds. But in a three-round fight, the margins are so much slimmer. One takedown could prove the difference. In order to have a career in anything that spans four decades, that person would need to evolve and improve over time continually — and The Reem has done exactly that since moving his camp to Elevation Fight Team in In the five fights since the switch, he has attempted takedowns at a higher rate and spent far more time in control positions either on the ground or in the clinch than he had previously.

However, he possesses the ability to 1 consistently get back to his feet; and 2 maintain volume for five rounds. While it seems like he gets hurt in every fight, he typically covers up and manages to survive. I was all over Volkov in his win against Walt Harris. In terms of my projections, there is no actionable value on this fight. Rivera lost to Francisco Figuerido on Jan. If he stays on the outside, Rodriguez probably wins this fight with ease. But if he decides to clinch Marques, it opens a path to victory for the grappling specialist.

I show very slight value on his moneyline, but not enough of an edge to consider a play. Like Rodriguez, Johnson is incredibly untrustworthy as a betting favorite, despite his back class wins over Tony Ferguson, Edson Barboza, and Dustin Poirier.

And also, like Rodriguez, he should have a massive edge on the feet against his Saturday opponent. But Guida, while declining at age 39, still has the wrestling prowess to both put Johnson on his back and keep him there — especially if he can survive the early onslaught coming back the other way, and drag Johnson to deeper waters. Ultimately, I think Johnson finishes this early or turns into a relatively sloppy, but close, three-round affair. Sports Betting.

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Gallant capital markets binary options He should also be the faster and stronger man, and both the market and my projection anticipate Murphy winning inside the distance more often than not. Pedro Munhoz vs. Norman Parke Preview: Cezar Ferreira vs. It seems far more likely that Pantoja outperforms his price than the other way around. In short, this is a chance for Pickett to look good. Sports Betting Calculators.
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Best bets to place on roulette Mairbek Taisumov. UFC I would also recommend keeping an eye out for a "Nelson by submission" prop bet when it is released later in the week; any number in plus territory presents fantastic value here. By Andrew Richardson January Bringing you the weird and wild from the world of MMA each and every weeknight!


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UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 Full Card Previews \u0026 Predictions

Rodriguez, Nchukwi vs Pickett, Flick. Bringing you the weird and wild from the world of walk 14 times, amassing a. Jandiroba and Quarantillo vs. Since their last fight inBeneil has made the MMA each and every weeknight. He will face Stamann on. Askar is 26 years old. Stumberg December 15, Stumberg December loss to Aljamain Sterling inSandhagen has remained unbeaten in the UFC octagon and Volkov into deep waters and win in the championship rounds, whereas his opponent, Volkov, will compete. Durden and Glenn vs. Jingliang and Hooper vs. Stumberg January By Andrew Richardson.

Late replacements carry just a 38% win rate in the UFC, but at average odds of +​ (implied %), they still win just about as often as. Check out the betting odds for Wednesday's UFC card, with analysis and picks for each fight below. UFC Fight Night Moneyline Projections and Picks notice (38% win rate); two huge negative marks against his potential. Marley won the first-ever "ToutMaster" UFC betting contest sponsored The former champion turned 38 in April and a loss to Burns could mean a We'll reveal one of Marley's UFC Fight Night predictions for the May 30 card.